Friday, May 31, 2013

West Point Silver Eagle Set Ordering Ends Next Week

set11The four week ordering window for the United States Mint’s 2013 West Point Silver Eagle Set will conclude next week on June 6, 2013 at 5:00 PM ET. This special set is issued to mark the 75th anniversary of the West Point Mint and includes American Silver Eagles with a reverse proof and enhanced uncirculated finish.

Orders for the set opened on May 9, 2013 at 12:00 Noon ET. Initial demand for the set was heavy, slowing the US Mint’s website to a crawl and briefly resulting in the online catalog being taken offline. Through the opening weekend, orders had been received for more than 180,000 sets, which far exceeded the sales for last year’s 2012 San Francisco Silver Eagle Set during a comparable period.

The US Mint has provided a sales odometer on the product page, which has been updated each weekday. The data from the daily updates is shown below. The first number column represents the daily change, while the second number column represents the reported cumulative sales total.

Date Increase Total Sales
5/10/2013  138,514 138,514
5/13/2013 44,259 182,773
5/14/2013 4,768 187,541
5/15/2013 4,185 191,726
5/16/2013 1,926 193,652
5/17/2013 3,082 196,734
5/20/2013 3,068 199,802
5/21/2013 4,299 204,101
5/22/2013 2,125 206,226
5/23/2013 974 207,200
5/24/2013 1,525 208,725
5/28/2013 5,486 214,211
5/29/2013 3,130 217,341
5/30/2013 2,638 219,979
5/31/2013 3,000 222,979

As can be seen, following the initial surge, the pace of daily orders soon dropped to a much lower level. This bottomed with a daily increase of 974 sets, before pushing higher this week.

While there seems to be a great deal of enthusiasm about this set which contains two exclusive coins and the first ever enhanced uncirculated Silver Eagle, many will be watching the sales numbers to see how the final mintage might compare to the previously released anniversary sets. The 20th Anniversary Set released in 2006 had a final audited mintage of 248,875. The 25th Anniversary Set released in 2011 sold out of its maximum mintage of 100,000. Most recently, the 2012 San Francisco Silver Eagle Set, which was minted based on demand during a four week ordering window, had final adjusted unaudited sales of 224,981.

Since last year’s San Francisco Set was offered in a similar fashion as this year’s West Point Set, does this provide some clues about what to expect next week? During the final week of sales of the San Francisco Set, the US Mint received orders for 75,714 units, which accounted for 30.1% of the unadjusted final sales total. See full sales data here.

Or is it the case that this year more of the overall demand moved to the opening days of availability? In this case, we might see sales for the West Point Set stall out around the 250,000 mark.

Thursday, May 30, 2013

2013 America the Beautiful 5 Oz. Silver Bullion Coins

atbThe United States Mint has recently provided the on-sale dates for the remaining 2013 America the Beautiful 5 oz. Silver Bullion Coins. These bullion versions are distributed through a network of authorized purchasers and priced based on the value of the silver content plus a mark up. They feature a brilliant often deep mirror proof like finish and do not carry a mint mark.

The bullion coin for first design of this year featuring White Mountain National Forest went on sale to authorized purchasers on May 13, 2013. Initially, the coins were offered on an allocated basis, as demand was expected to exceed the available supply. Allocation was lifted earlier this week.

Orders will be accepted for the second bullion release featuring Perry’s Victory and International Peace Memorial starting on June 3, 2013.

The on-sale dates for the remaining three designs will be as follows:

  • Great Basin National Park –June 24, 2013
  • Fort McHenry National Monument and Historic Shrine – August 26, 2013
  • Mount Rushmore National Memorial – November 04, 2013

So far, sales have been stronger for the 2013 America the Beautiful 5 oz. Silver Bullion Coins as compared to last year’s releases. As of May 28, 2013, the White Mountain design has reached sales of 25,800 coins. This already exceeds the highest sales total reached for a 2012-dated release, which was 25,400 for the Acadia National Park design.

For the 2012-dated releases, the low sales were primarily the result of the low production levels chosen by the US Mint. Production was as low as 20,000 units each for the Hawaii Volcanoes and Denali National Park designs.

Initial mintage or anticipated production levels will not be provided for the 2013-dated releases. The US Mint has indicated that the 2013 ATB 5 oz. Silver Bullion Coins will be minted to demand.

Tuesday, May 28, 2013

2013-W Uncirculated Silver Eagle

Today, May 28, 2013 at 12:00 Noon ET, the United States Mint will begin sales of the 2013-W Uncirculated American Silver Eagle. These collector coins are struck on specially burnished blanks and carry the “W” mint mark.

2013-W Uncirculated Silver Eagle

This will represent the fourth different collector version of the Silver Eagle offered by the US Mint for this year. Sales for the standard proof version with “W” mint mark began on January 24, 2013. This was followed by the offering of the 2013 West Point Silver Eagle Set, containing reverse proof and enhanced uncirculated versions with the “W” mint mark. The special sets are available during an ordering window which opened May 9, 2013 and will close on June 6, 2013. The Mint has also offered the 2013 Congratulations Set, which contains the standard proof version with “W” mint mark in special packaging.

The 2013-W Uncirculated Silver Eagle features Adolph A. Weinman’s classic Walking Liberty design on the obverse, with John Mercanti’s heraldic eagle design on the reverse. Each coin is struck in .999 fine silver with a weight of 1.0000 troy ounces and diameter of 40.60 mm.

The coins are offered without a stated maximum mintage and without a household ordering limit. Initially, pricing for the coins was established at $53.95 per coin through a publication in the Federal Register made in December of the prior year. The coins were repriced to $48.95 through a subsequent publication made earlier this month. The US Mint indicates that, as with all products containing precious metals, this price remains subject to change.

The collector uncirculated or “burnished” version of the American Silver Eagle was introduced in 2006 as part of the 20th Anniversary Set. Later in the year, the Mint also offered the coins for individual sale. For the following two years in 2007 and 2008, the collectible uncirculated Silver Eagles were also offered individually, as well as within the Annual Uncirculated Dollar Coin Set. The offering was canceled for the following two years due to the high demand for bullion coins, but resumed in 2011.

The 2012-W Uncirculated Silver Eagle currently has the mintage low for a collectible uncirculated coin of the series with the “W” mint mark. The individual version had sold out in March with last reported sales of 202,504. This was followed by the sell out of the 2012 Annual Uncirculated Dollar Coin Set earlier this month at last reported sales of 28,368.

Numismatic Gold Coin Price Decrease Possible

gold-buffaloLast week, a price decrease for the United States Mint’s numismatic gold products was narrowly missed. This week, the set up is similar with the potential for a price decrease, which will depend on where the Wednesday PM Fix price falls.

Under the US Mint’s pricing structure for gold and platinum numismatic products, in order for a pricing change to take place the average London Fix price from the prior Thursday AM to current Wednesday AM must be within a different tier compared to the prior week. As a secondary criteria, the Wednesday PM Fix price must agree directionally with any potential change. Last week, although the average price was in a lower tier, the Wednesday PM Fix price ended up in the same tier, negating the change.

For this week, the average price is currently within the $1,350 to $1399.99 range. This is one tier lower than the range of $1,400 to $1,499.99 which is used to establish current prices. In the most likely scenario, as long as the Wednesday PM London Fix price is below $1,400, then a price decrease should take place.

Prices would be decreased proportionally by $50 for each ounce of gold content. The impacted products would include the 2012 First Spouse Gold Coins, 2013 commemorative gold coins, 2013 Proof Gold Eagles, and the recently released 2013 Proof Gold Buffalo. If applicable, pricing changes have usually been implemented around mid-morning on Wednesday.

Friday, May 24, 2013

Reverse Proof Gold Buffalo Images

As mentioned in previous posts, the United States Mint plans to issue an individual 2013 American Gold Buffalo Coin with a reverse proof finish to celebrate the 100th anniversary of James Earle Fraser’s design.

Reverse proof coins carry a finish that is the opposite of the traditional cameo proof, generally with raised design elements appearing mirrored against frosted background fields. The finish has been used by the US Mint on a number of occasions across several different series. Reverse proof Silver Eagles have been included within special sets issued in 2006, 2011, 2012, and 2013. A reverse proof Gold Eagle was issued in 2006, and a reverse proof Platinum Eagle was issued in 2007, both as included within special multi-coin anniversary sets.

In this post, I wanted to share some images of the upcoming coin. Click on any image for a larger version.

US Mint imageThe image above is the product image provided by the US Mint. Unfortunately, not very much differentiation is apparent between the frosted and mirrored design elements.

Starting with 2013-dated coins, the US Mint altered their photography style for proof (and reverse proof) coinage. Since the mid-1980′s they had used a full or partial black background to distinguish mirrored features of a coin. With the improvements in photographic techniques and equipment, they decided to stop using the heavy black shadowing on proof coins. According to the Mint, “Digital photography capabilities have improved to the extent that we can now distinguish between the mirror-like background of a proof coin and the finish of an uncirculated coin without manipulating the image with a shadow.”

The US Mint recently displayed an actual example of the 2013 Reverse Proof Gold Buffalo coin at the ANA National Money Show held in New Orleans from May 9-11, 2013. Scott Barman, the author of Coin Collectors Blog, captured the following images which are represented here with permission.

obverse

reverse

These images more clearly showcase the different finishes and provide a much better idea of how the coin would actually look in hand.

The US Mint has not yet indicated the release date for the 2013-W Reverse Proof Gold Buffalo coin. They have confirmed that it will be offered individually and the packaging will consist of the same wooden box as the standard proof coin, but the outer box will be differentiated with a leather-like material.

Within a press release and other communications, the Mint has indicated that pricing for the offering will be determined under the pricing grid for gold and platinum coins available at this link. It is still unconfirmed whether the price of the reverse proof will be taken from the same “American Buffalo 24K Gold Proof” column that is used for the regular proof, or whether a new column will be added with different pricing. If the prices of the two products are identical, demand is sure to be high for this special reverse proof anniversary coin, likely cannibalizing some of the demand from the regular proof issue.

Thursday, May 23, 2013

2013-W Proof American Gold Buffalo Coins

Today, May 23, 2013 at 12:00 Noon ET, the United States Mint will begin sales of the 2013 Proof Gold Buffalo.

2013 Proof Gold Buffalo

The American Gold Buffalo bullion and collector coin series began in 2006 and represented the first 99.99% pure gold coin produced by the United States Mint. The designs for the coin are from James Earle Fraser’s original 1913 Type 1 Buffalo Nickel featuring the profile of a Native American on the obverse and an American Bison on the reverse. This design will celebrate its 100th anniversary this year, which the US Mint will mark with the issuance of an individual reverse proof coin later in the year.

During the course of the series, the US Mint has issued one ounce bullion versions of the coin for each year of issue. One ounce proof versions have also been issued for each year, with fractional one-half, one-quarter, and one-tenth ounce coins issued in 2008. Collectible uncirculated versions with the “W” mint mark were issued for a single year in 2008, with one ounce, one-half ounce, one-quarter ounce, and one-tenth ounce coins available.

The one ounce 2013-W Proof Gold Buffalo is offered without a stated maximum mintage or household ordering limit. The initial pricing for the coin will be $1,790, based on an average gold price within the $1,400 to $1,449.99 range. A lower price was just narrowly missed since the Wednesday PM London Fix price was above $1,400. Even though the weekly average was in a lower tier, the US Mint uses an additional criteria that the Wednesday PM price must agree directionally with any shift in price brackets. As with all numismatic gold coins, the price will remain subject to weekly adjustment.

How will the 2013 Proof Gold Buffalo fare with collectors? There are several factors that will have an impact on ordering.

The initial price is lower compared to the prior year when the 2012-dated proof was initially offered at $1,960. As we have seen with some silver offerings, lower pricing can sometimes stimulate demand.

On the other hand, some collectors may choose to purchase the upcoming reverse proof version of the coin instead of the regular proof version. This would serve to hamper demand for the traditional offering as collectors opt for the special offering.

The relatively early sell out of the 2012-dated proof and positive secondary market performance may also impact collector sentiments. After the 2011-dated release lingered in availability for 19 months, the 2012-dated release sold out after about ten months at the second lowest mintage level for a one ounce proof coin of the series. Sometimes these unexpected sell outs can result in higher demand for the subsequent issue of a series from collectors who felt that they missed out.

The mintage levels or last reported sales for each proof issue of the series are included below.

Proof American Gold Buffalo Mintages

Date 1 oz. 1/2 oz. 1/4 oz. 1/10 oz.
2006 246,267
2007 58,998
2008 18,863 12,169 13,125 18,884
2009 49,306
2010 49,263
2011 28,693*
2012 19,675*
*last reported sales